WITH just two tournaments of the season left to play, 70 players remain in the FedEx Cup play-offs.
After Justin Thomas’ impressive win last time out, we have a tantalising battle between the top 4 – Jordan Spieth, Thomas, Dustin Johnson and Hideki Matsuayama. Incredible scenes.
That makes the BMW Championship a thrilling prospect as the field will be whittled down to 30 ahead of the season climax next week.
⛳ BMW Championship Betting Tips ⛳
We travel to Conway Farms Golf Club in Illinois who host the event for the third time.
Zach Johnson won in horrific conditions (shock) in 2013 but Jason day ripped the track apart in 2015 to win by six shots.
The type of players were different in both renewals, with Jim Furyk shooting an outrageous 59 in 2013 and a leaderboard full of technical tee to green players but the bigger hitter iron gurus dominated two years later.
There are similarities that everyone played incredibly well in their approach game but more pertinently, with their short sticks.
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Jason Day 16/1
Yes, his odds are short and yes, we went there to no avail last week but something is just telling us that Jason Day is very close to a huge win.
Last time out he went on a mad run during his final day, showing that he is in fine fettle. He found himself at -8 for his round approaching the 14th tee, catapulting through the leaderboard.
If you get a chance to see some highlights, he was sinking everything and attacking pins gloriously.
Whilst he didn’t quite maintain it, there was enough signs to take note of.
Fifth in driving distance, T23 for GIR and 5th for putting is a lethal combination for this sort of course. We all know how dominant he was last time he played here in 2015.
To open up he shot a 61 and followed it with a 63 so his he clearly suits the layout and would’ve been higher than T4 in 2013 were it not for a poor opening round.
The standout of the favourites.
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Paul Casey 18/1
Yep here we go again. We won’t be the only ones to have plumped for Casey over the past few months because let’s be honest he’s one of the hottest form players around right now.
One MC since The Open LAST YEAR. Eleven top 10’s. Four top 5’s in his last six outings.
That’s pure insanity. Arguably even crazier is the fact that he hasn’t actually won since 2014. You have to think he can’t be far away and coming onto a track that should suit, he’s worth another punt.
As an iron guru (3rd GIR across the season) and someone that has the potential to go hot with his putter, he makes a lot of sense.
Louis Oosthuizen 40/1
Of all the mid-rangers Louis looks like a cracking bet – Sergio Garcia has appeal but too tarnished by his putter breaking exploits last week.
Louis meanwhile played superbly at the PGA, recording an impressive T2, following it up with a T10 at the Playoffs opener. Tee to green he’s one of the best in the world (23rd for strokes gained tee to green) and comes to a track that should suit. He finished T19 last time out here, should have perhaps been higher but wasn’t fully consistent throughout the week.
For someone in as decent form as he is, the odds do feel generous enough to take a punt.
Patrick Cantlay 50/1
Another mid-ranger that has a great deal of appeal is Patrick Cantlay.
The 25-year old has had might fine breakthrough year, not missing a cut once and finding three top 3’s. The fact he’s made a positive start to the playoffs put him on our radar – T10 and T13, which considering he hasn’t been super hot with the putter shows his tee to green abilities.
T5 for GIR last week and doubled with the fact he can hit the ball a long way, he could make a mark on what will be his first visit to this track.
No doubting his putter has get going, but if he keeps plonking it next to the pin, he’ll have no problem!
Kevin Na 66/1
Kevin Na has been slowly building a bit of form in recent weeks, with a T4 at the Wyndham and a T6 last time out in Boston.
What he showed that got us most excited in regards to this week was a steady tee to green game but stupidly hot putting.
Maybe it was the TV coverage, but it felt like he was holing a lot. So, it was no surprise to see that he was 1st for putting average across the week and T30 for GIR.
That sort of combination could be lethal on this track and he’ll be coming here after a T10 on his first visit a couple of years ago.
An outsider to keep an eye on.
Gary Woodland 80/1
Similar to Na, Gary Woodland feels like a no brainer at the top end. Although not evidently in the greatest form, he’s one of the most underrated ball strikers in the game.
He hits it a mile and is superb with his irons as proven by topping the GIR stats last time out.
Yes he only recorded a T18 and wasn’t looking overly great with the putter, but he’s one of those that is too hot with his irons to not take a look at, especially at the odds being offered in a condensed field.