RORY SABBATINI landed top golf tipsters Down The 18th another place last week – giving readers a tidy return on a man who started at 100/1.
That’s six places in five weeks for the hottest tipsters in the sport.
This week, LEWIS PACELLI gives us his selections for the Northern Trust Open as the Fed Ex Cup play-offs begin.
⛳ Northern Trust Open Tips ⛳
- Paul Casey (33/1): “Sometimes you have to go with the obvious and Casey definitely fits that mould ” – add to your betslip
- Matt Kuchar (35/1): “His sort of swing needs to be in sync and there’s no doubting it is” – add to your betslip
- Justin Rose (50/1): “How can we not have a dabble on Justin Rose at 50s” – add to your betslip
- Daniel Berger (66/1): “He really looks good at 66’s” – add to your betslip
- Gary Woodland (66/1): “We all know he tonks it a mile” – add to your betslip
- Robert Garrigus (150/1): “He can hit it a mile, one to watch” – add to your betslip
So here we are. The final leg of the season is upon as The FedEx Cup play-offs begin.
Four tournaments whittling the top 125 from the year down to one who will be left standing with a cheeky $10million bonus. Crazy.
To kick things off we have the Northern Trust Open, which in recent years has been visiting tracks all across the New York region.
While it’s great seeing different courses, it does make it rather difficult for profit hunters.
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But that’s where we can come in.
Glen Oaks Club is in Long Island and has never hosted a PGA event mainly because for years it was just a standard course, but major renovations took place a few years back under the watch of the experienced Craig Currier, who has worked at the likes of Bethpage Black (held two US Opens) and Augusta.
There have been many suggesting there are similarities to the famous Masters course and, judging by videos, photos and local reports, we can see why.
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The greens are firm and with hot weather expected they’ll play fast. There are several slope offs and the fact they appear to be tight and tough to find, scrambling could come into the spotlight, but you have to think those that find the dancefloor regularly will be at a distinct advantage.
There are plenty of large white bunkers, whilst water hazards feature on six holes, including the 17th and 18th which could make it a fun final day.
One of the holes is protected by a large bunker if you go long or short and water if you go left or right which just makes those irons so important.
Whilst the fairways aren’t particularly narrow, the rough seems like it’ll be very penal.
So overall you’ve got to look at the ball strikers who can recover if it goes array but the fact there are 4 very tough par 3s as well, it wouldn’t go amiss to check out the better performers on those shorter holes.
Let’s make some money.
Paul Casey 33/1 (add to your betslip)
We’ve been here many times before. We all have. But sometimes you have to go with the obvious and Casey definitely fits that mould this week.
When you look at the track, he just fits everything. Superb with his irons, both naturally and consistently throughout this season (T33 proximity to the hole, 3rd GIR) and he has really been on fire from the tee as usual – 15th in Total driving. Now obviously his putting has been letting him down, not that he often misses tiddlers and inexcusable 3-putts, he just hasn’t been making them. However he was T27 at the WGC Bridgestone for putting average, which gives us that extra bit of hope. 7th in scrambling and T47 for par 3 performance only add to the appeal.
But the fact there are similarities being made to the Augusta greens in terms of speed and shapes, we do know that the Englishman has fantastic form at The Masters – T6, T4, 6th represent his last 3 outings there. So with some of the very tough greens to hit, strong caseys can be made for Paul. Terrible pun. Really terrible. Just get on Casey.
Matt Kuchar 35/1 (add to your betslip)
We had a tough decision to make as Jason Day has plenty of appeal this week but at 18’s a punt for our second pick didn’t seem right. So step forward Matt Kuchar.
We all love a bit of Kuch.
The gentle giant is a perennial placer but the well-documented seven PGA Tour wins in 12 years has the potential to haunt such a talented grafter.
But he is looking like he’s in a bit of a groove at the moment.
His worst finish in nine outings is T42, including 6 top 10s. That is just ridiculous. His sort of swing needs to be in sync and there’s no doubting it is. So when you need to think of someone who will be able to work out their way round using their tee to green proficiencies, Kuch would be near the top of that list. He is also a good par 3 player (T40 par 3 performance) and does have great Masters form – 4 top 8s in his last six outings at Augusta.
Daniel Berger 66/1 (add to your betslip)
A young gun who years ago would’ve made way more headlines for some of his top performances as a 24-year old. Yet there’s a few others at the same age who have stolen that limelight.
Yet that means we can still get decent value for a two-time PGA Tour winner. Whilst he missed the cut on his last outing at the PGA Championship, he has shown enough with his win a the St Jude a couple of following top 5 finishes.
He is long and straight (T54 Total Driving) and has plenty of ability with his irons (56th GIR).
Combined with his superb putting stroke that has won many admirers (30th strokes gained putting) and outstanding par 3 stats (17th par 3 birdie or better, T29 par 3 performance) he really looks good at 66s. Plus his two trips to Augusta have resulted in a T10 and T27.
Justin Rose 50/1 (add to your betslip)
How can we not have a dabble on Justin Rose at 50s?! I can’t remember the last time one of England’s finest has been at such high value.
Yes he’s had 3 poor outings but let’s not forget just before The Open he finished T4 in Ireland. He has come out and said he’s been a bit topsy turvy but that he knows he isn’t far away.
So for someone who is a tee-to-green specialist and has an outrageous Augusta record (2nd, T10, T2 his last 3 finishes) it seems bonkers not to at least have a saver on Rose.
Gary Woodland 66/1 (add to your betslip)
We’ve seen enough of Woodland recently to think he could be in and amongst it this week. He showed plenty of promise in his T22 finish at the PGA and was hitting the ball superbly in Canada for his 4th placed result. We all know he tonks it a mile and is one of the best ball strikers – 13th Total Driving and 15th GIR prove that. So we all know what his Achilles heel is – the short stick. But we have to take solace from the fact he was 26th for total putting in Canada.
With his style, he could really suit this track.
Robert Garrigus 150/1 (add to your betslip)
It’s been a very very tough time in recent years for Robert Garrigus. There were 6 missed cuts in a row not long ago this season but form someone that used be a top 40 player, we’ve seen a revival in his last 3 outings. T6 at the Barracuda, T5 in Canada and 10th at the (all be it poor quality) Barbasol. That is shaping up to be a hot little streak that is too hard to ignore because he has been known to go through little spells before.
T55 for par 3 performance, 42nd Total Driving and 6th GIR add to the appeal of this outsider. He can hit it a mile and if that short stick gets going like it has done in his last two tournaments, he will be one to watch.