Race-by-race preview and tips for Kensington on New Year’s Day


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Form: James McDonald rides Naval Warfare – strongly favoured in the New Year's Day Cup in race five today – to victory in the Membership Handicap at Warwick Farm.

Type: James McDonald rides Naval Warfare – strongly favoured within the New 12 months’s Day Cup in race 5 in the present day – to victory within the Membership Handicap at Warwick Farm. Credit score:AAP

Race 2 – 2:10PM 2019 MEMBERSHIP HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

2. Love Shack Child seems to be near a win and maps effectively to take a seat simply off the pace. Not quite a lot of luck first-up at Canterbury however attacked the road effectively late then didn’t love having to chase however stayed on effectively behind a runaway winner right here second-up. That is his distance vary and he’ll have his probability to interrupt by means of.

Risks: 6. Zeppelin is one other prone to be simply off them within the run and he comes off a strong win at Wyong as favorite the place he wound up arduous to win after being held up. Arduous to see him not that includes someplace within the end. three. Smiling Manolito has discovered his area of interest as a front-runner and if he will get management then he may be arduous to catch. Run down by C’est Davinchi two again then received fortunate as Welsh Legend blew the beginning and wasn’t in a position to reel him in final time. I’m wondering concerning the depth of his type however he’s certain to present a sight, significantly if left alone. 7. Chalk is a humorous horse, he’d win this race on his greatest type. Final win was in October 2017 and he beat Redouble and Firsthand! Sound behind Poetic Charmer two again then had assist on the heavy at Warwick Farm final begin and simply battled after settling on the tail. One to throw within the multiples.

Methods to play it: Love Shack Child E/W.


There’s an opportunity 5. Maddison Avenue finds a tender lead right here and that will give her a great opportunity to search out her greatest. Two runs again haven’t been dangerous, significantly first-up crushed 1.6 by Candy Deal. Off the bit chasing on the heavy final time so forgive that. Good each-way hope in a winnable race for her.

Risks: four. By way of Veneto could be the logical hazard along with her type round Tunero standing up. Began a effectively supported favorite when runner-up to that horse at Canterbury and is drawn to get one other good run simply behind them. Arduous to beat. 2. Shantou had excuses final begin at Wyong and was sport in defeat operating second to Spanish Dream. She raced broad and was left flat when the winner circled earlier than the flip however stored coming suggesting the additional journey with a neater run would go well with. Sturdy claims. three. Ivy’s Court docket ran on from final into third in an analogous race to this on December 21 over the identical course. If she will get the race run to go well with she’s a profitable probability however both method she needs to be operating on once more.

Methods to play it: Maddison Avenue E/W.

Race four – three.20PM TAB REWARDS PLATE (1400 METRES)

1. Belladeel is an fascinating first starter for the Waller camp. He’s proven pace in each her trials, profitable the primary then an in depth third within the second. Anticipate he’ll be someplace up on the pace and if he stays strong available in the market needs to be arduous to beat.

Risks: three. Jimmu has come up very quick on the again of a strong debut second at Wyong behind a wise trying kind in Nindamos. He raced broad there and was no match however fought on. Awkward gate once more and whereas he seems to be underneath the percentages he’s a contender. four. Nobu is crying out for a mile however stays on the 1400m after his late closing third over this course on December 21. He’ll get again from the surface gate and be operating on, in the event that they overdo it up entrance he might swamp them. 10. Convey The Magic hasn’t proven her true skill in three begins thus far however completed off her trial at Canterbury lately in superb model suggesting she may step up this time in. Awkwardly drawn however one to keep watch over.

Methods to play it: Belladeal WIN.

Race 5 – four.00PM NEW YEAR’S DAY CUP (2400 METRES)

three. Naval Warfare seems to be to have full management within the 5 horse area and he solely has to expire the 2400m strongly to win in a race with actually just one, perhaps two, critical threats. His final 4 runs have all been wonderful and he was effectively ridden to attain at Warwick Farm. Solely try on the journey he was minimize down by Future’s Kiss late within the McKell Cup in Might.

Risks: 2. Future’s Kiss is all the time an opportunity in these races and has seven wins at 2400m to his credit score. His weak point is a flat spot he all the time hits round 800m-600m out but when he’s inside putting vary with 200m to go he’ll take holding out. four. Earth Angel has been disappointing with just one win in 14 begins however for those who overlook her final begin flop at Flemington her two earlier runs had some advantage. Positioned in a few weak G3 races final season and within the small area she’s the opposite probability. 7. Simply Dylan received effectively at Canberra two begins in the past then boxed on pretty behind Tunero on Boxing Day. Place hope if one thing goes awry with one of many above trio.

Methods to play it: Naval Warfare WIN.


1. Fuchu seems to be a progressive kind and he’s been robust late in his two provincial wins this time in. Tremendous effort dropping 50m round Wyong and coming from final on the flip to attain and he’ll admire an even bigger monitor. There needs to be sufficient pace for him to have the ability to have his probability to select them up once more, hopefully he’s within the clear in loads of time.

Risks: 2. Nice Job is effectively price preserving secure at his first run for Clare Cunningham. He contested the Provincial Championship collection in 2018 on the again of a string of wins and I might see nothing unsuitable along with his two trials again. In all probability goes ahead from out broad and deserves respect. 6. Seahampton is an enigma, she regarded so good profitable again in July however the wheels have fallen off her. She was honest behind Seasons first-up and with a lot much less depth right here she has the prospect to be aggressive. three. Moondancer dissatisfied earlier than a spell however was pretty sincere previous to that final time in. Quiet trial at Gosford and from the great gate can characteristic recent at this journey.

Methods to play it: Fuchu WIN; Trifecta 1/ 2,6,7/2,6,7.


11. Seles is the bottom rated horse on this race however it’s no shock she’s arduous available in the market right here after a few rumbles with The Artwork Of The Bar at her final couple of begins. Improved nearly 5 lengths again onto an excellent monitor final time as she closed off effectively and she or he offers each indication 1250m shall be no problem. Arduous to carry out.

Risks: 9. Osorno dissatisfied first-up towards his personal age then went to Wyong and didn’t have the most effective of luck there crushed a few lengths with out the prospect to wind up. Ought to have the ability to get to the surface this time and if he’s within the temper he’ll be operating on strongly. 1. Pelorus Jack is a giant question right here first-up and not using a trial this preparation. He simply didn’t come up final time in however it appears Les Bridge is making an attempt one thing totally different with him. Greater than succesful on his greatest type so if there’s an upset it may very well be him.  three. Clifton County is an sincere galloper having his first metro begin. Trialled pretty however may get some favours on the pace so price preserving secure.

Methods to play it: Seles WIN.


9. Laburnum seems to be the nice factor of the time off an excellent trial and it’s vital she’s been stored recent with three weeks for the reason that trial. She blended it with Good Melody, Thinkin’ Huge and firm final time in and has discovered a race the place she will sit midfield behind an excellent pace, get to the surface and run excessive. That’s the speculation anyway, the one threat is discovering 1000m too slick however comfortable to take it.

Risks: 1. Nic’s Vendetta is a really helpful horse and whereas he hasn’t received recent he normally runs an excellent race then improves sharply second-up. His final couple of first-up runs have been at 900m at Newcastle so higher suited right here and with the declare and tender gate may be within the end. 2. Vincero was wayward first-up however ran on very effectively for an in depth second at Gosford then flopped at Hawkesbury when second favorite to a promising kind. All the way down to 57kg, drawn properly and he’s greater than able to bettering sharply. four. Witherspoon was a crushed favorite first-up at Wyong and might’t actually make too many excuses for her. On paper she’ll be in a pace battle for the lead which is a fear. If she lands in entrance uncontested then she will take operating down.

Methods to play it: Laburnum WIN; Trifecta 9/1,2,four/1,2,four.

Provided by Racing NSW.

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