Saudi Arabia has little bargaining power over Canada and U.S., expert says – National


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Saudi Arabia holds little energy over the bigger economies of Canada and america, says one College of British Columbia professor, as nations worldwide condemn the Arab nation following the demise of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, which the dominion is accused of orchestrating.

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“In each circumstances, the economies of Canada and the U.S. are far, far bigger, extra complicated and complex than that of Saudi Arabia,” stated Hani Faris, a political science professor at UBC who focuses on Center East politics.

“Saudis solely have crude (oil) to present you or money to purchase,” he stated “(Each Canada and the U.S.) can dwell with out it with none main challenge.”

Faris identified that Saudi Arabia’s main export is crude oil, which isn’t an export Canada or the U.S. depend on too drastically.

“For the reason that growth of fracking, the U.S. now’s producing extra oil than Saudi Arabia,” Faris stated. “In case you had requested me seven or eight years in the past, I must say People can be in serious trouble as a result of they relied on Saudis much more, however fracking has modified the entire scene.”

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By way of Canada, Faris stated the nation exports its oil from the Prairies and the West Coast and imports from refineries on the East Coast. Canada has the power to readjust that motion of crude oil utilizing its pipelines throughout the nation.

Faris additionally highlighted that Canada has many different nations to show to if it’s in want of oil, equivalent to Mexico, Venezuela, Iran or Kuwait.

“All of those nations have oil on the market, and (it’s) not absolutely bought. (Canada) can readjust; (we) don’t want (Saudi Arabia),” he stated.

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If truth be told, Faris believes Saudi Arabia stands out as the nation in a bind as a result of it owns refineries within the U.S. and has to provide them with crude oil. If the U.S. denies the Saudis the power to import their crude oil then “they’re in hassle.”

“Saudi Arabia needs to be very cautious,” he stated.

Saudi Arabia has been within the scorching seat ever because the demise of Khashoggi, who was final seen coming into the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, on Oct. 2.

WATCH: Saudi Arabia dealing with backlash over Khashoggi rationalization

Saudi Arabia has stated that Khashoggi died within the consulate on account of a “fist battle,” however nations equivalent to Canada, the U.S. and Germany are skeptical of this rationalization, and Turkey is conducting its personal investigation into the demise.

U.S. President Donald Trump has stated there might be “extreme” penalties if Saudi Arabia is discovered to be behind the assault, and U.S. senators have urged putting sanctions on the nation.

The incident comes because the Saudis try to diversify their financial system and transfer away from oil. The nation is at the moment holding a global enterprise summit that has been known as “Davos within the desert.” Already, giant traders and companies have cancelled their attendance in protest of Khashoggi’s demise.

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Faris admitted that the Saudis may do some hurt to the U.S. via their investments within the American monetary market, which quantity to a number of hundred billion , the professor stated. Faris believes this might trigger some disturbance if Saudi Arabia rearranged its investments.

Nevertheless, Faris stated there isn’t actually wherever Saudi Arabia may take its investments outdoors of the U.S.

“They aren’t going to ship them to the Far East and even Europe,” he stated.

Moreover, the U.S. is “recognized to take measures to cease any such motion in conditions like these.”

“The People can concoct any purpose to forestall them from withdrawing,” he defined.

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Saudi Arabia may, nevertheless, create a disturbance on the earth oil market by way of pricing if it was to scale back its manufacturing by two or three million barrels.

“It may trigger a disaster,” Faris stated, pointing to the oil disaster of 1973, when Saudi Arabia and different Arab nations stopped sending oil to sure nations, together with Canada.

Total, nevertheless, Faris believes the “Saudis wish to promote,” including: “It’s rather more vital than a easy disaster over a human rights challenge.”

“Not one of the playing cards the Saudis maintain may trigger irreparable injury to the Canadian financial system or society, and that’s vital,” he stated.

© 2018 World Information, a division of Corus Leisure Inc.

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