The Betting Spy’s top picks for Saturday’s racing at Ayr and Newbury



THE Cap matches for the Scottish Grand Nationwide at Ayr (three.35).

In a race the place novices have a advantageous file CLOTH CAP can take the prize for proprietor Trevor Hemmings, who loves to focus on the large staying occasions and is never appear with out a, you guessed it, material cap!

PA:Press Affiliation

The seven-year-old was massively spectacular when profitable over 3m1f at Catterick in November on simply his third run over fences.

The additional he went the higher he regarded and he totally deserved his 9lb rise. That places him in right here with simply 10-Zero to hold and he appears to be like to have been saved for this. He likes to race near the tempo, which is ideal for this monitor, and good floor is right.

Hemmings additionally has Classic Clouds, a primary fence faller at Aintree final week, going for him however he’s larger within the weights right here and harshly handicapped on his third within the race 12 months in the past.

Beware The Bear is 9lb larger than when profitable at Cheltenham and faces a tricky process off prime weight.

RUNNERS AND RIDERS Who’s working within the Scottish Grand Nationwide?

Crosshue Boy and Dingo Greenback fought out the end of the novice chase on this card final season and each have claims whereas Huge River is properly handled however would favor softer floor.

The large hazard could also be Geronimo, one other progressive novice who is 2 from two on the course.

Within the 1.55 KILFILUM CROSS has an incredible likelihood. He’s lightly-raced for an eight-year-old and produced a career-best effort final time when second within the red-hot Kim Muir Chase at Cheltenham.

He has been nudged up one other 3lb however that’s most likely lenient and, again in novice firm, he will certainly be exhausting to beat.

Dandy Man’s sequence of wins have been in weaker grade whereas Ibis Du Rheu, though pretty handicapped, appears totally uncovered now.

 Kilfilum Cross (left) was second in the Kim Muir last time

PA:Press Affiliation

Kilfilum Cross (left) was second within the Kim Muir final time

Nicky Henderson runs three within the Scottish Champion Hurdle (2.25) and MISTER FISHER is the one to be with as Verdana Blue has an excessive amount of weight and Mind Energy is just not one to depend on.

Mister Fisher was fancied for the Supreme Novices on the Cheltenham Pageant however that proved too stiff a check, particularly as the bottom was so testing.

His earlier kind on flatter speed-favouring tracks makes him look properly handled on a mark of 145 and this course and floor must be very best.

Nube Negra is properly handled however doesn’t win usually and may have a stiffer check so Redicean, in kind on the all-weather of late, and Captain Moirette could also be better risks.

The Flat is beginning to get into full stride now and there’s a nice card – with some fascinating maiden races – at Newbury, the place DEFOE can land the opening John Porter Stakes (1.40) for the second yr working.

He simply comes up brief in Group 1 firm however has a terrific file in weaker grade, having received his final six begins beneath the very elite stage.

The gray, gelded since final seen, has received first trip for the final three seasons, is unbeaten in three runs at Newbury and acts on mushy floor. It’s exhausting to identify a weak spot.

I’m a giant fan of Younger Rascal and he’s one to observe this season however the concession of 3lb makes his process additional troublesome.

All-weather ace Mootasadir has the identical drawback and, in any case, has a bit to show on turf.

Laraaib, Aspetar and Communique are all more likely to win good races later this season if not at present and this can be a race which is able to repay repeat viewing as there may very well be loads for the pocket book.

I spy an eyecatcher…

At Redcar on Monday Archie Watson continued his terrific begin to the season together with his two-year-olds when Solely got here house a well-backed winner of the opener.

However she did noy have issues all her personal approach as Tim Easterby’s IVA GO made her work exhausting for victory, with the primary two pulling properly clear.

The runner-up is one to notice. She is going to win races and appears extraordinarily properly purchased as she price round £four,000. Her house owners shall be in revenue quickly.

The Greenham Stakes (2.40) is way the poorer for the absence of star juvenile Too Darn Sizzling nevertheless it now could be a lot the higher from a punting perspective and the one who appeals most is MOHAATHER.

He progressed with each run final yr and there was no fluke – regardless of the 33-1 SP – about his course-and-distance success within the Horris Hill Stakes.

That was on softish floor as properly so there are few negatives.

Hi there Youmzain, Boitron and Nice Scot all have stable claims however maybe lack the potential of Marcus Tregoning’s colt.

City Icon, regardless of the lengthy lay-off, and No Nonsense are others to control.

Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary treats astonished passengers to free drinks after his horse Tiger Roll wins historic second Grand Nationwide in a row


Source link