What to anticipate from John Lee

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An bird’s-eye view of a domestic district in Hong Kong.

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Hong Kong’s Chief Executive John Lee is set to attend to some significant financial and social concerns that the city deals with in his 2nd yearly policy speech on Wednesday.

Residents of the monetary center are presently facing a slowing economy, high realty costs and falling birth rates.

Here’s what to anticipate:

Ease home procedures

Hong Kong is well-known for its high home costs– however simply this year, it lost the title of being the “most expensive private property market” in Asia to Singapore.

Home costs fell 4 months in a row. The newest federal government information revealed that real estate rate index stood at 339.2 in August, down 4.2% given that year-highs in April and dropped 7.9% year-on-year.

As rates of interest stay high and experts anticipate more drawback in real estate costs, calls are growing for the federal government to raise the present home cooling procedures– likewise called the “spicy policies.”

These procedures are basically various types of stamp tasks such as Buyer’s Stamp Duty (BSD), Ad Valorem Stamp Duty (AVD), and the Special Stamp Duty (SSD). They were very first presented in 2010 when the marketplace was warming up amidst speculation on houses that increased costs.

“Market is speculating the government may relax the BSD and the revised AVD during the upcoming policy address,” stated CBRE Hong Kong’s Eddie Kwok in a report, while anticipating the SSD to stay in location.

Kwok stated unwinding these procedures might assist improving deal volumes, however home costs “may not change much.”

Boost costs and tourist

Hong Kong’s economy is likewise dealing with some headwinds.

“Hong Kong has been facing a challenging external environment with the world economy slowing amid high interest rates,” Thomas Shik, primary economic expert from Hang Seng Bank informed CNBC.

The monetary center briefly dipped into a technical economic crisis in 2022 while the pandemic limitations were still in result.

We're confident that Hong Kong's economy can 'return to expansion' in 2023, says economist

He anticipates domestic need will continue to be the crucial motorist to Hong Kong’s growth.

“The government is widely expected to step up efforts to promote consumer spending and tourism,” the primary economic expert stated, including those propositions might consist of promoting a night market, arranging global workshops, executing facilities tasks and so on.

Labor lack, falling births

According to PwC, Hong Kong’s general jobs in the economic sector has actually increased by 6.3% given that December of 2022, in spite of procedures revealed in in 2015’s policy address to draw in and maintain skill– both foreign or domestic– in the city.

The consultancy company stated in a current report that this “significant labor shortage” is the outcome of a rise in emigration, in addition to international competitors for skills, low birth rates and a shift in group.

A nurse analyzes brand-new born chinese kids with their mums at the Queen Elizabeth Hospital on 30 April 2012 in Hong Kong.

Victor Fraile Rodriguez|Corbis News|Getty Images

In reality, Hong Kong has the most affordable fertility rate on the planet, according to World Bank information in 2021, with 0.8 births per female. That’s compared to 1.1 in Singapore and 1.7 in the U.S.

To deal with the issue, regional media reported the Hong Kong leader might think about providing 20,000 Hong Kong dollars ($ 2,556) to the household of every newborn in the area, if a minimum of among the moms and dads is an irreversible citizen.

By offering appealing rewards … Hong Kong can re-establish itself as an appealing location for both regional and global skill.

PwC likewise suggested the federal government ought to supply assistance to full-time moms and dads so they can go back to the labor force.

“By offering attractive incentives such as tax benefits, industry-specific subsidies, training and upskilling, education support, Hong Kong can re-establish itself as an attractive destination for both local and international talent,” stated PwC Hong Kong’s personal customer service partner Wise Lam, in a news release.