Why Trump can’t bully Iran the way he did North Korea – National

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U.S. President Donald Trump threatened North Korea with “hearth and fury” final August, in a bellicose risk aimed toward dictator Kim Jong Un, whom the president derided as “Little Rocket Man.”

Ten months later, Trump and Kim had been all smiles as they met for a historic face-to-face summit in Singapore, after which the president claimed to have a “particular bond” with North Korea’s dictator.

If Trump is anticipating the identical form of army threats to convey the same turnaround with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, there’s an excellent probability he’ll be upset.


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Trump blasted Rouhani in an all-caps rant on Twitter late Sunday night time, after Rouhani publicly addressed looming U.S. oil sanctions.

“America should perceive that peace with Iran is the mom of all peace, and struggle with Iran is the mom of all wars,” Rouhani stated Sunday.

“NEVER EVER THREATEN THE UNITED STATES AGAIN OR YOU WILL SUFFER CONSEQUENCES THE LIKES OF WHICH FEW THROUGHOUT HISTORY HAVE EVER SUFFERED BEFORE,” Trump tweeted later that night time, in a tweet addressed to Rouhani.


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However whereas either side sound like they’re spoiling for a struggle, specialists say neither has an urge for food for army battle. Iran doesn’t have nuclear weapons to make use of for its defence, whereas Washington is prone to draw back from any enterprise that resembles the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

In different phrases, neither the U.S. nor Iran needs to name the opposite’s bluff on the battlefield.

WATCH BELOW: Trump suggests cancelled Iran deal has superior Center East Peace Plan





Empty phrases?

Outstanding Iranian analyst Seed Leilaz downplayed the disagreement on Monday, saying he thinks it was “the storm earlier than the calm.”

Leilaz informed The Related Press (AP) he was not “apprehensive concerning the remarks and tweets,” and that “neither Iran, nor some other nation is fascinated about escalating tensions within the area.”

Nonetheless, Lebanese analyst Kamel Wazne says either side should train warning to keep away from forcing a confrontation.

“It wants only one mistake to have a serious regional struggle,” Wazne, director of the American Strategic Research Institute in Beirut, informed AP.

“Iran has stated very clearly that any struggle with them shall be very expensive, and meaning American bases all through the area could possibly be a goal,” he stated.

WATCH BELOW: Rouhani warns U.S. of ‘mom of all wars’





The artwork of the dealbreaker

Iran has confronted elevated U.S. strain since Trump’s resolution in Could to withdraw the USA from the multilateral nuclear deal signed in 2015, which sought to freeze Tehran’s nuclear program in alternate for lifting financial sanctions.

The deal opened Iran as much as overseas funding, however Trump slammed the door on that progress by de-certifying the deal and promising to re-impose sanctions.


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With the financial strain, Trump stated earlier this month that “at a sure level they’re going to name me and say ‘let’s make a deal,’ and we’ll make a deal.”

Wazne says Iran can’t belief the U.S. after Trump pulled out of the nuclear deal.

On Sunday, Rouhani advised Iran may instantly ramp up its manufacturing of uranium in response to U.S. strain. Probably that may escalate the very state of affairs the nuclear deal sought to keep away from — an Iran with a stockpile of enriched uranium that might result in making atomic bombs.

WATCH BELOW: ‘Don’t play with the lion’s tail,’ Rouhani warns Trump





Nevertheless, Iran isn’t practically as near launching a nuclear weapon as North Korea, making it much less of an instantaneous army precedence.

Rouhani additionally doesn’t have the identical energy as Kim to single-handedly shift his nation’s overseas coverage. The Iranian president is beholden to a nation run by spiritual and political elites, with Iran’s Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at its head.


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These elites have quickly rallied round Rouhani within the face of Trump’s threats, however that solidarity is unlikely to final endlessly.

Rouhani’s hardline rivals oppose the nuclear deal he signed with Western nations in 2015, and would doubtless rejoice its demise if it meant isolating Iran from exterior influences.

Supreme Chief Khamenei on Saturday dominated out negotiations with the USA as an “apparent mistake.”

All of it means Rouhani can’t merely strike a president-to-president cope with Trump, regardless of how onerous Trump tries to bully him into doing so.


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— With information from Reuters and The Related Press

© 2018 World Information, a division of Corus Leisure Inc.

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