Hong Kong’s IPO market is still in a downturn regardless of an anticipated rebound

0
84
HSBC Hong Kong still optimistic on its outlook despite Fed's stance on 'higher for longer' rates

Revealed: The Secrets our Clients Used to Earn $3 Billion

Hong Kong Street Scene, Mongkok District with busses

Nikada|E+|Getty Images

Hong Kong’s preliminary public listing market stays in a downturn, even as experts anticipated a market rebound in the 2nd half of the year.

“The Hong Kong market has not recovered as much as we would like,” Irene Chu, partner at KPMG China, informed CNBC.

In the very first 3 quarters of the year, the Hong Kong IPO market concluded 44 listings, and raised 24.6 billion Hong Kong dollars ($ 3.14 billion), according to KPMG. It represented a drop of 65% in offer count and 15% in earnings respectively compared to the very same duration in 2015, the company stated.

Hong Kong’s stock exchange was amongst the worst carrying out in 2015, shedding 15% in 2022 for its third-straight year of decreases. In October, the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index was up to their most affordable levels considering that November 2022.

The basic belief has actually not yet recuperated. We can not anticipate the IPO market to rebound rapidly or be similar with the excellent old days.

Ringo Choi

Asia-Pacific IPO leader, EY

“The Hong Kong market is currently at [a] extremely low point [compared to] the excellent old days in 2020 or before that. So the basic belief has actually not yet recuperated. We can not anticipate the IPO market to rebound rapidly or be similar with the excellent old days,” stated Ringo Choi, Asia-Pacific IPO leader at EY.

A June report by EY and a mid-year evaluation launched by KPMG China anticipated the Hong Kong IPO market might rebound in the 2nd half of 2023.

OnOct 27, the marketplace launching of J&T Express, a Tencent- backed Indonesian logistics company, set up an uninspired efficiency. Shares opened flat and consequently ended 1.33% lower.

J&T, the 2nd biggest listing in Hong Kong this year, had actually initially anticipated to raise a minimum of $1 billion in the listing however cut the target by half on the back of weak financier belief, according to Reuters

“The Hong Kong stock market remained weak in Q3 2023, as did stock valuations, because of macroeconomic developments, in particular around U.S. interest rate hikes. Many IPO candidates continue to wait-and-see for a turnaround in market valuations while preparing and planning their offerings,” stated Deloitte in a September report.

Hong Kong’s greatest IPO this year, Chinese alcohol maker ZJLD Group, plunged 18% in its trading launching on April 27.

The 2 biggest IPOs in the Asian monetary center in 2015 likewise dropped in their listing debuts. Chinese electrical car maker Zhejiang Leapmotor dived 34%, while home providers Onewo fell nearly 7%.

“Five of the last nine large HKEx IPOs had flat debuts. At the last close prices, all the large HKEx IPOs since 2022 are trading below the IPO prices,” stated Arun George, co-founder and expert at Global Equity Research in aOct 26 report released on Smartkarma, a financial investment research study network.

Weak Greater China healing

Hong Kong is an unique administrative area of China, which has actually dealt with a frustrating post-Covid financial healing. In October, the International Monetary Fund reduced its development projection for China to 5% this year and 4.2% in 2024.

The stock market of Shanghai and Shenzhen raised $287 billion and $198 billion in funds respectively from January toOct 9, dropping 42% and 23% compared to the very first 3 quarters of in 2015, KPMG reported.

But experts state the international economy beyond China is having a hard time to recuperate. “It’s not just China. The recovery of the global economy is also quite challenging. Overall economic recovery takes a bit of time to really pick up,” stated Chu of KPMG China.

In the very first 3 quarters of this year, there were 968 IPOs internationally, which raised $1012 billion in capital– a 5% and 32% reduction year-over-year respectively, stated EY.

In a quote to reinforce the marketplace, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in September proposed steps to improve the appeal for little- and medium-sized business with high-growth capacity to list.

In August, the federal government revealed a job force to “enhance” stock exchange liquidity in order to reinforce the advancement of its capital market.

“The dynamic initiatives, coupled with HKEX’s continuous improvement of its listing regime, are crucial to strengthening Hong Kong’s diverse and multi-layered capital markets, a key to maintaining the competitiveness of Hong Kong as a premier international financial centre,” stated KPMG.