Threat of rail strike has supply chain increase contingency strategies

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Union Pacific CEO Lance Fritz discusses recent earnings and supply chain outlook

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An bird’s-eye view of shipping containers and freight train trains ahead of a possible strike if there is no handle the rail employee unions, at the BNSF Los Angeles Intermodal Facility rail lawn in Los Angeles, California, September 15, 2022.

Bing Guan|Reuters

Logistics supervisors are cleaning off their prepare for a possible railway strike in November that might ruin the supply chain and cost the U.S. economy approximately $2 billion a day.

The National Carriers’ Conference Committee (NCCC), representing the country’s freight railways in the nationwide cumulative bargaining, informed the Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employees Division of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters (BMWED) on Wednesday that the union’s most current proposition will not be accepted. An offer in between the rails and numerous big unions to prevent a strike, with suggestions from the Biden administration, was moving closer to conclusion prior to being voted down by the BMWED recently.

“Now is not the time to introduce new demands that rekindle the prospect of a railroad strike,” the NCCC stated in a declaration.

Tom Nightingale, CEO of AFS Logistics, informs CNBC that logistics supervisors are fielding calls from clients in anticipation of a possible strike.

“Prudent shippers already had a plan in place a month ago, and most who did not have now ramped up their contingency planning after the wakeup call last month,” Nightingale stated. “Proactivity is the key to supply chain success.”

For lots of intermodal deliveries– deliveries that utilize numerous modes of transportation such as ocean, trucking and freight rail– there can be a week in between when freight is gotten and when it makes it onto the railway, according to Nightingale.

“That lag time will exacerbate the effects of delays and service interruptions, so effectively managing the risk of intermodal disruption means you must plan early and often,” he stated.

In anticipation of a strike in September, Norfolk Southern, Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary BNSF, CSX, and Union Pacific all started ramping down freight around 5 days ahead of the strike date in an effort to move vital hazmat products, such as chlorine and ethanol. That freight took concern over typical freight.

“Shippers had a lot of sensitivity to the potential rail strike,” Nightingale stated. “No shipper wants to lose their job or risk losing a customer when they have had this much advance notice to a looming disruption.”

As an outcome, AFS saw a substantial uptick in clients wanting to move loads far from intermodal to other modes like truckload and even less-than-truckload shipping (LTL).

“Shippers don’t want cargo with a limited shelf life sitting at a rail yard, particularly commodities like chemicals and refrigerated food and beverage,” he stated.

Under the Railway Labor Act, Congress has the capability to enforce the resolution from Biden’s Presidential Emergency Board, or purchase the trains to run as typical with an extension of settlements.Nov 19 is the earliest that rail unions can strike.

“While it is premature to make predictions about what could happen in negotiations, railroads will take every necessary and prudent step to ensure the safety and security of the network and the communities we serve,” a representative for the Association of American Railroads stated in an e-mail to CNBC. “The rail network does not turn on and off like a light switch and advanced planning and positioning of assets takes time. Should uncertainty remain ahead of the status quo expiring with BMWED, past action is a good indicator of how those operational plans are executed, and specific decisions on timing will be made as events necessitate.”

“If you are in logistics and you are not already scenario planning for a potential work stoppage you may be behind the curve right now,” stated Brian Bourke, primary development officer of SEKOLogistics “Everyone is waiting for after the election for any additional movement or news, but the time to start planning is now.”

Anger amongst union employees

On October 18, the BMWED published on its site a letter members might utilize to send out to their congressional agents covering the lifestyle and advantages problems, which have actually been a significant sticking point in settlements over a brand-new agreement. One of the bottom lines of contention is the BMWED searching for more paid time off, particularly for illness.

“The push for paid sick time off could potentially lead to Congressional action,” the letter stated. “While we hope the carriers will acknowledge the concerns of their employees and negotiate with us, it is important that we are prepared for their unwillingness to address quality of life concerns.”

“The railroads consistently underestimate the frustration and anger of the workers. Workers can’t take it anymore,” Richard Edelman, counsel for BMWED and primary representative in the cumulative bargaining, informed CNBC. “The Presidential Emergency Board (PEB) ruling is just a recommendation. It is not a lid. Carriers have made the determination of not doing more than the net equivalent of the PEB.”

Union Pacific CEO Lance Fritz informed CNBC throughout an interview on “Squawk on the Street” Thursday early morning, “We’ve got some negotiating to do with that union and we’ve agreed to status quo, we’re in status quo while we’re doing that. I am confident we will find a way to craft an agreement that can be taken back out for ratification. That doesn’t mean a strike is not possible, it just means in my opinion I don’t think it’s probable. We’ve got plenty of runway to figure it out.”

OnSept 15, prior to the previous nationwide strike due date, an arrangement was revealed by Labor Secretary Marty Walsh in between the 2 biggest unions, the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET) and the Sheet Metal Workers’ Transportation Division (SMART-TD) and the National Carriers’ ConferenceCommittee The BMWED is the third-largest union with 23,900 members.

“The railroads have made billions off of their workers,” Edelman stated. “These are incredibly skilled jobs where sophisticated pieces of equipment are used. The workers do not feel valued.”

One of the concerns amongst logistics specialists is employees stopping, however the AAR representative informed CNBC that train and engine service headcount was up 7.4% in September compared toJanuary Fritz informed CNBC that UP’s attrition rate is near its historic standard this year and it’s employing strategy has actually been right on target, without any sign of any “Great Resignation” at the rail provider.

“Those new hires came on board for the same reason most railroaders stay for life – railroading is a career that allows you to both support a family and take deep pride in your work,” the AAR representative stated.

“Workers need to be able to take off when they are sick. Under the present policy workers are penalized. Railroad executives are so deep into their own bubbles they think all of this is okay,” Edelman stated.

The AAR informed CNBC it upgraded the leave policy explainer recently.